Federal Reserve Total Assets
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Correlation between Fed Balance Sheet and Bitcoin, S&P 500, Nasdaq, gold and oil
Think of it this way
It is the size of the monetary pizza. A huge pizza does not mean you get a slice: first you have to see how much the government keeps stored in its safe (TGA) and how much sits idle, unused (RRP).
What is Federal Reserve Total Assets?
Everything the Federal Reserve owns, in two lines. The TOTAL BALANCE SHEET includes everything: Treasury bonds, mortgages, emergency loans, swaps with other central banks and gold. The SOMA PORTFOLIO is only the part bought as monetary policy, usually between 87% and 94% of the total. The gap between the two is emergency lending. It is published every Thursday at 4:30 p.m. Eastern Time in the H.4.1 report.
How to read Federal Reserve Total Assets
Each step up was an emergency program —between 2020 and 2022 the balance sheet rose from 4 to 9 trillion dollars— and each downward stretch is QT. But what you really read here is the GAP between the two lines: when they run together, the Fed is conducting normal monetary policy by buying bonds; when they separate, it is lending in an emergency. In calm times the gap is around 243 billion, and in December 2008 it reached 1,767, 78% of the balance sheet. Lag: none, or +15 days at most: the cash is already in the accounts.
What Federal Reserve Total Assets means for the market
It is the main ingredient in the most widely used net liquidity formula in the market: Fed balance sheet minus TGA minus RRP. On its own it says little, because the money can be trapped in the TGA or the RRP instead of circulating. That is why net liquidity is more useful than the balance sheet alone.
Where the money flows
It is the sum of everything the Fed has bought or lent, and therefore of all the money it has created. What matters is where it ended up: it may be in a bank's reserves, which is where it does work as liquidity; in banknotes inside a shop's cash register; in the Treasury's account waiting to pay pensions; or parked by a money market fund in the RRP. The total does not tell you which of those four places it is in, and that is exactly the difference between this line and net liquidity.
What to watch in Federal Reserve Total Assets
Always look at it alongside bank reserves, never on its own. The interesting case is when the balance sheet falls and reserves do not, or vice versa: the move is being absorbed by the Treasury account or the RRP, and then the headline about the size of the balance sheet says nothing about the money reaching the market. And watch for the two lines separating: if the balance sheet grows but the SOMA portfolio does not, that growth is a rescue, not monetary policy.
The size of the balance sheet is the ceiling on the liquidity available in the system.